In the Final Analysis:
1. ) All General Motors salary retirees must understand that something bad is going down and the idyllic status quo that we have been living will not last. Now is the time to review your individual financial situation with the family as to where you can squeeze your assets in order to provide the make-up monies that you will need to maintain your current life style. For some of us, it may be a new post retirement job
"WELCOME TO WALMART" or "WOULD YOU LIKE FRIES WITH THAT". For me, the shuffleboard classes are going to have to go.
2.) The Province of Ontario is at fault for allowing the GM pension plan to fall so far behind in its funding. This is because:
"GM was allowed to take advantage of a special exemption (read as Pension Contribution Holiday) inserted into legislation (Bob Rae) during the deep recession of 1992",
"GM is the only company in Ontario that is permitted to make annual payments into the province's Pension Benefits Guarantee Fund instead of being required to finance its pensions on a solvency basis." Thank you Bob Rae and every provincial government since for allowing this Pension Contribution Holiday to continue to where it is today.
3.) Simple fairness dictates that pension benefits should be reduced --- the Canadian taxpayer will not tolerate paying their way by giving GM retirees a free ride.
4.) The General Motors of Canada salary pension plan is thought to be in better shape that the hourly plan. The "salaried workers' plan holds $2.3-billion versus liabilities of $2.9-billion, a $500-million shortfall." This is a smaller shortfall based on a percentage basis than the hourly pension plan.
5.) The best case scenario is outlined in Globe and Mail's article "GM Canada beset by pension crisis" by Greg Keenan and Murray Campbell, Nov. 19/08 at
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20081119.RAUTOSGM19/TPStory/Business "Retirees would take a hit in a GM bankruptcy because the provincial fund covers only a portion of the monthly payments up to the first $1,000."
Scenario #1 GM retirees under 65 years of age receiving $3000 per month with out OAS or CPP "If, for example, a pension plan held assets equal to 80 per cent of liabilities when it was wound up, a retiree receiving $3,000 a month before the wind-up would get $800 of the first $1,000 a month, financed by the assets in the plan. The Ontario fund would make up another $200. But, the remaining $2,000 a month would be reduced to $1,600 a month - based again on that 80-per-cent figure - leaving a shortfall of $400 a month because of the $1,000 cap on the fund."
* Scenario #2 same as #1 except the GM pension plan held assets equal to 50% of liabilities then a retiree receiving $3,000 a month before the wind-up would get $500 of the first $1,000 a month, financed by the assets in the plan. The Ontario fund would make up another $500. The remaining $2,000 a month would be reduced to $1,000 a month - based again on that 50-per-cent figure - leaving a shortfall of $1000 a month because of the $1,000 cap on the fund.
Scenario #3 GM retirees over 65 years of age receiving say $2000 per month after the OAS or CPP carve out on his original pension when he / she was under 65 years. "If, for example, a pension plan held assets equal to 80 per cent of liabilities when it was wound up, a retiree receiving $2,000 a month before the wind-up would get $800 of the first $1,000 a month, financed by the assets in the plan. The Ontario fund would make up another $200. But, the remaining $1,000 a month would be reduced to $800 a month - based again on that 80-per-cent figure - leaving a shortfall of $200 a month because of the $1,000 cap on the fund.
* Scenario #4 same as #3 except the GM pension plan held assets equal to 50% of liabilities then a 65 year old retiree receiving $2,000 a month after the OAS or CPP carve out would get $500 of the first $1,000 a month, financed by the assets in the plan. The Ontario fund would make up another $500. The remaining $1,000 a month would be reduced to $500 a month - based again on that 50-per-cent figure - leaving a shortfall of $500 a month because of the $1,000 cap on the fund.
* Best Scenario "When the bean counters are finished with the calculations, it's possible that the largest plan (pension plan), which covers hourly workers, will be only 50% funded on a solvency basis." (Ref Globe and Mail Jan. 22, 2009 "Isn't it time to clean up the GM pension fiasco?" by DEREK DeCLOET
https://secure.globeadvisor.com/servlet/ArticleNews/story/gam/20090122/RDECLOET22 )
In other words: if GM Canada were to go belly-up tomorrow, there might be only 50 cents available for every dollar needed to pay for future pensions. The Ontario government, through its Pension Benefits Guarantee Fund (PBGF), would have to make up some (not all) of the difference.
6.) "Ontario is the only province to guarantee pension funds; however, it's only to a limited degree and that plan already has a $102-million deficit. If the Pension Benefits Guarantee Fund exceeds its ability to pay any claims, then the government has to decide if it wants to loan more money to the plan from consolidated revenue fund to cover such claims." Reality Check: Do you really think that Joe citizen in Canada would want to pay more taxes to fully fund the Pension Benefits Guarantee Fund; so that, the so called FAT CAT GM RETIREE can continue to enjoy his full pension.
7.) "the Canadian federal government has no pension insurance system for the defined benefit plans it regulates."
http://www.thestar.com/comment/article/5519128.) "GM has been rewarded for repeatedly holding the provincial government at knifepoint. The company (along with other firms) threatened to take its future investment elsewhere unless it got easier pension rules, and the Rae government relented, back in the early 90's. It has pushed, over and over again, for government loans and other favours in return for putting new money into its plants (as have the other auto makers). And now that it's all coming apart, and U.S. auto sales are crashing, there's the implied threat of another huge bill for the public if a bailout doesn't succeed.
https://secure.globeadvisor.com/servlet/ArticleNews/story/gam/20090122/RDECLOET229.) GM is the classic ``corporate welfare bum``, a tern coined by Ralph Nader back in 1966. ``Canadians have handed out more than $182 billion — or $13,639 per taxpayer — in business subsidies, bailouts and loans over the past dozen years`` and GM is one of the leaders in the pack. However to GM of Canada's credit they (recently) turned down the Canadian government’s offer for a $3 billion loan. GM representatives say they are focusing their efforts on “self-help actions to conserve capital.” Good for GM, but wait! GM spokesperson Stew Low says GM could still require the loan as their ‘self-help’ efforts are for the short term.`` Sounds like bafflegab to me!
http://www.bclocalnews.com/tri_city_maple_ridge/tricitynews/opinion/38664079.html"GM can still change its mind, it has until Feb. 20, when the offer expires. However, much like the U.S. bridge loans, the aid package isn’t merely a hand-out; in order to receive the money, a restructuring plan must be submitted for approval. The government has various demands, chief of which is reducing labour costs to equal those of its Japanese rivals."
"The manufacturing operations of GM Canada Ltd. have not been profitable for several years"; so, you have to wonder what is GM's game plan for Canada
or, given that GM got big money from Washington, ("GM was awarded about $11B in TARP bailout money in December, 08" and another $5 billion to GMAC Financial Services)....maybe they are not allowed to close any plants in the USA, and will close most of the Canadian plants instead.....Thus they could not meet Ottawa's criteria for the loan......to not close the plant's in Ontario?
http://blogs.carpoint.ca/2009/01/thanks-but-no-thanks-gm-canada-turns-down-3b-canadian-federal-emergency-aid/comments/page/2/or, as reported by the Windsor Star 2/5/09 GM has told the CAW:
http://www.windsorstar.com/cars/naias/looks+cutting+pension+increases+retirees/1256635/story.html(a) "If the company does not get enough labour savings to make the automaker profitable again, the company has told the union it will stop investing in Canada. No new product would be allocated to its Canadian plants, and GM would eventually wind down its remaining operations here"
(b) "GM told the union in its meeting it intends to restructure its worldwide operations so that each region and division is profitable on a standalone basis"
10.) No chance that GM will stop mainlining government handouts long into the future ---``Ontario Finance Minister Dwight Duncan confirmed yesterday (Nov. 19, 2008) that taxpayers would be on the hook for `billions" in pension guarantees if General Motors declares bankruptcy. "This is one reason we believe the continued operation of General Motors is important to the overall economy," he said at the Ontario legislature in Toronto`. ``
http://www2.canada.com/montrealgazette/news/business/story.html?id=2f211c0c-eddb-4215-b13a-de8caec28d2d11.) Changes coming: "In its report, A Fine Balance, released Nov. 20, the Ontario Expert Commission on Pensions recommends a new process to address underfunded pension plans in hard times. Employers in distress would approach the representatives of affected plan members (a union or employee group). Together, the employer and the members would reach an agreement about the measures best suited to deal with the problem. The pension regulator would have the authority, under the commission's recommendations, to approve the deal and vary the funding rules as necessary."
http://www.thestar.com/comment/article/55191212.) It is interesting to note that "General Motors has told the Canadian Auto Workers union
"it wants to end cost of living increases for retirees to solve the $4-billion shortfall in the company's pension fund, sources with knowledge of the industry's bailout talks"
http://www.financialpost.com/news/story.html?id=1253895 ; this won't affect salary retirees because ewe never got COLA on our pension instead we got "stipulated increases" which is a BS term for No COLA. Essentially salary pensions are reduced by the annual COLA to where after 10 years your pension is has only 80% purchasing power compared to when you retired. [In fact, GM took away COLA from the salary back in 1985, BUT they have not had the balls to negotiate the take-away from the CAW membership, almost 25 years later]
"GM has also told the CAW it needs major reductions in benefit", well what do you know the salary whipping boy has already had his benefits reduced with a please or thank you!
13.) Lets not loose sight of the fact that the difference in labour costs between the Detroit Three and the Transplants is the burden of paying for retirees. The transplants have not been in business long enough to have retirees to any significant level. The easy way for GM to stop this cash flow drain is not fund their pension plan fully as allowed by our Ontario government.
14.) One thing is a given the executive suite knows how to bleed the pig --- last year "
Richard Wagoner, chief executive of General Motors, made $14.4 million, much of it in stock, options and other non-cash benefits. He earned a $1.6 million salary." And Wagoner has been able to pull this heist off by marketing products have been poor in all respects, from design and driveability to safety and fuel efficiency. According to Automobile magazine, “it’s been 50 years since GM built a car that was the standard of the industry in any category.”
15.) All the talk about the GM Volt to be introduced to the market in 2011 Model Year; Do you remember the GM electric car of the 90's ?
"General Motors reluctantly built the car ( EV-1) to comply with California zero-emission regulations which required auto makers to sell a certain percentage of zero-emission vehicles in that state. When the regulations were dropped due to pressure from the car makers and oil companies, GM abruptly pulled the plug on the EV1. The cars were all leased vehicles, so GM took all of the cars back from their owners and had the cars crushed and destroyed. End of story.
http://www.aa1car.com/library/who_killed_electric_car.htmLets not forget that Wagoner was the same sucker who killed GM's electric vehicle the EV-1 in the 1990's. Reference
http://www.chemistry.oregonstate.edu/courses/hc399/The%20EV1.ppt16.) It will be interesting spectator sport in the next couple of weeks; I can hardly wait to see what the Detroit 3 have to say on February 17, 2009 when they are back before Congress
"One might question whether the recent urgent requests for financial assistance do not diminish consumer confidence at least as much as would a bankruptcy filing designed to reorganize the company and lead to financial viability . . . filing under Chapter 11 could boost consumer confidence in the troubled automakers."
"It’s T minus 11 days before Congress does the thumbs-up thumbs-down thing on the artist formerly known as the world’s largest automaker. GM is up shit creek without a paddle. The United Auto Workers aren’t going to agree to parity with the transplant assembly workers, as required. The bondholders aren’t going to exchange debt for equity, as required. The company doesn’t have a clue what to do about its brands or products, as required. There is no way whatsoever for GM to prove to your elected officials that it has a hope in hell of repaying the $13.4b loans already made—never mind the $100b or so needed to keep the ailing American automaker in business for another year. So GM CEO Rick Wagoner is doing the only thing he knows how to do, that he can do: cutting expenses. This time, it’s white collar workers for one simple reason: that’s all that’s left. Bloomberg tells of the $14m per year CEO’s decision to throw his remaining management to the wolves . . .
The company will include the plans in a Feb. 17 progress report to the U.S. government, said the people, who asked not to be named because the plan isn’t public. The total may match the more than 5,000 salaried positions eliminated last year, the people said. GM started offering buyouts to 62,000 union workers this week and is in talks with the United Auto Workers about trimming benefits.
“They need to be very aggressive,” said Dennis Virag, president of the Automotive Consulting Group Inc. in Ann Arbor, Michigan. “They need to prove they can be viable. To do that, they need significant cutbacks of both salaried and union workers.”
Horseshit. The key to success: take in more money than you spend. While GM’s CEO has been a ruthless cost-cutter, Wagoner and his mob have done sweet FA to increase GM’s ability to earn what’s commonly known as profit. It’s time to cut bait and fish."
http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/bailout-watch-378-gm-to-sacrifice-1000s-of-white-collar-jobs/17) Latest news 2/10/09
http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianpress/article/ALeqM5j0lI3PMnZul9OHegMGf3tXHJsoSgENDNOTES for Referenced Document Sources:
http://www.thestar.com/article/471472http://www.thestar.com/article/537478http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20081119.RAUTOSGM19/TPStory/Businesshttp://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20090121.wdecloet0122/BNStory/crashandrecovery/?query=http://www2.canada.com/montrealgazette/news/business/story.html?id=2f211c0c-eddb-4215-b13a-de8caec28d2dhttp://www.financialpost.com/news/story.html?id=974300http://www.upi.com/Business_News/2008/11/19/Report_GM_Canada_pension_fund_well_short/UPI-29881227097425/http://canadiandimension.com/articles/2008/11/19/2202/https://secure.globeadvisor.com/servlet/ArticleNews/story/gam/20090122/RDECLOET22http://www.stcatharinesstandard.ca/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=1421355&auth=PETERhttp://www.thestar.com/comment/article/551912http://www.cbc.ca/money/moneytalks/2008/11/michael_hlinka_1.htmlhttp://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gXNypy_TgxFkYxIbyhH42mjkcjBAD9663O9O0http://www.financialpost.com/news/story.html?id=1253895http://blogs.carpoint.ca/2009/01/thanks-but-no-thanks-gm-canada-turns-down-3b-canadian-federal-emergency-aid/comments/page/2/http://brandinsightblog.com/2008/12/08/marketing-lessons-from-gm-—-will-a-30-billion-bailout-buy-them-some-focus/http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20081119/mcguinty_autos_081119?s_name=&no_ads=http://www.windsorstar.com/cars/naias/looks+cutting+pension+increases+retirees/1256635/story.htmlhttp://www.voxeu.eu/index.php?q=node/2574http://www.chemistry.oregonstate.edu/courses/hc399/The%20EV1.pptDisclaimer: "without prejudice" All CCRF, 1982 Sc2(b)